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switch from exchange rate to inflation targeting and adoption of a policy rule for the use of petroleum revenues. We find … that the long-run means of CPI and core inflation rates declined significantly until the mid-1990s and have since then … remained close to the inflation target of 2.5% from 2001 onwards. The persistence in especially CPI inflation has fallen during …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012998261
. Key to our estimation strategy is the use of survey - based expectations for inflation and output. We identify … period. Output shocks shift to the low volatility regime around 1985 whereas inflation shocks do so only around 1990 …, suggesting active monetary policy may have played role in anchoring inflation expectations. Shocks and policy regimes jointly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014178114
This paper builds a micro-founded general equilibrium model of hysteresis in which changing composition of firms with heterogeneous qualities in response to demand shocks alter the total factor productivity of the economy through a process of "creative destruction". Hysteresis fundamentally...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014238148
We study the effects of monetary policy on economic activity separately identifying the effects of a conventional change in the fed funds rate from the policy of forward guidance. We use a structural VAR identified using external instruments from futures market data. The response of output to a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014121895
We review macroeconomic performance over the period since the Global Financial Crisis and the challenges in the pursuit of the Federal Reserve’s dual mandate. We characterize the use of forward guidance and balance sheet policies after the federal funds rate reached the effective lower bound....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014048774
implications for monetary policy as the central bank has to decide which inflation rate to target. Our results demonstrate that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014064009
This paper studies the state-dependent effects of monetary policy shocks. It shows that a canonical sticky-price model with real rigidity in the form of firm-specific factors can generate substantial state-dependence in the effects of monetary policy shocks. Factor specificity introduces a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014076822
cost of inflation in a sector increases in price flexibility, altering the optimal inflation target policy. A monetary … policy that stabilizes the optimal inflation index mitigates the paradox …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014091538
political business cycles, the inflation-stabilisation dilemma is discussed along with proposed solutions in the form of central … bank independence and conservativeness, incentive contracts, and inflation targets. The final section turns to current …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014104034
inflation volatility to zero. (iii) The statistical Phillips Curve changes substantially with policy instruments and activist … inflation hence the aggregate price level appears "sticky" with respect to money shocks. (v) Discretion in monetary policy adds … current effective policy is only mildly activist and aims mostly to target inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014029667