Baele, Lieven; Bekaert, Geert; Cho, Seonghoon; … - 2015
. Key to our estimation strategy is the use of survey - based expectations for inflation and output. We identify … period. Output shocks shift to the low volatility regime around 1985 whereas inflation shocks do so only around 1990 …, suggesting active monetary policy may have played role in anchoring inflation expectations. Shocks and policy regimes jointly …