In this article we present both a theoretical framework and a solved example for pricing an European gas storage facility and computing the optimal strategy for its operation. As a representative price index we choose the Dutch TTF day-ahead gas price. We present statistical evidence that the...

In this article we present both a theoretical framework and a solved example for pricing an European gas storage facility and computing the optimal strategy for its operation. As a representative price index we choose the Dutch TTF day-ahead gas price. We present statistical evidence that the...

The wavelet transform is used to identify a biannual and an annual seasonality in the Phelix Day Peak and to separate the long-term trend from its short-term motion. The short-term/long-term model for commodity prices of Schwartz & Smith (2000) is applied but generalised to account for weekly...

Preface: It is necessary to thank many people at the end of a big project like writing a book. First, my thanks go to my patient editor Sunil Nair and his editorial assistants Rachel Holt and Sarah Gelson. Two anonymous reviewers made very thorough and useful comments on an earlier manuscript....

The scaling function from multiresolution analysis can be used to constuct a smoothing tool in the context of time series analysis. We give a time series smoothing function for which we show the properties of a quasilinear moving average. Furthermore; we discuss its features and especially derive...

Calculating a large number of tail probabilities or tail quantiles for a given distribution families becomes very challenging, if both the cumulative and the inverse distribution function are not available in closed form. In case of the Gaussian and Student t distribution, quantile...

The wavelet transform is used to identify a biannual and an annual seasonality in the Phelix Day Peak and to separate the long-term trend from its short-term motion. The short-term/long-term model for commodity prices of Schwartz & Smith (2000) is applied but generalised to account for weekly...

Since the pioneering work of Embrechts and co-authors in 1999, copula models enjoy steadily increasing popularity in finance. Whereas copulas are well-studied in the bivariate case, the higher-dimensional case still offers several open issues and it is by far not clear how to construct copulas...

By means of wavelet transform a time series can be decomposed into a time dependent sum of frequency components. As a result we are able to capture seasonalities with time-varying period and intensity, which nourishes the belief that incorporating the wavelet transform in existing forecasting...

We investigate, if it pays off for a company to invest into complex swing option algorithms. We first introduce least squares Monte Carlo as a complex valuation algorithm and explain in detail how it works. Using a simulation study and two backtest scenarios we compare the output of this method...