This study illustrates that the empirical rejection of the forward rate unbiasedness hypothesis is not sensitive to whether the forward U.S. dollar is quoted at a premium or a discount. It is argued that the reported finding of so-called asymmetry in forward exchange rate bias in earlier work is...

Separate literatures study violations of uncovered interest parity using regression-based and portfolio-based methods. We propose a decomposition of these violations into a cross-currency, a between-time-and-currency, and a cross-time component that allows us to analytically relate...

This paper examines the efficiency of the forward yen/dollar market using micro survey data. Conventional tests of unbiasedness do not correspond directly to the zero-profit condition. Instead, we use the survey data to calculate potential profits of individual forecasters based on a natural...

Does the primacy of the U.S. dollar affect the pricing of risks in the currency options market? Our findings rely on a daily option panel of 15 currencies. This analysis reveals that (i) put risk premiums are negative, implying across-the-board interest in hedging foreign currency depreciations;...

We use transaction-level data on foreign exchange (FX) forward contracts for the period 2014 through 2016 in conjunction with supervisory balance sheet information to study the drivers of banks' dollar hedging costs. Comparing contracts of the same maturity that are initiated during the same...

This paper analyses deviations in yen-dollar cross-currency swap markets between 2007 and 2017. Using weekly-frequency data on money market-related and capital marketrelated financial variables, we analyse how the cross-currency basis is influenced by differences in returns and different types...

This study illustrates that the empirical rejection of the forward rate unbiasedness hypothesis is not sensitive to whether the forward U.S. dollar is quoted at a premium or a discount. It is argued that the reported finding of so-called asymmetry in forward exchange rate bias in earlier work is...

Since the mid-1970's, the unbiased forward rate hypothesis (UFRH) of forward and spot exchange rates has been intensively studied and tested with inconclusive and contradictory results. On the basis of the hypothesis, this paper provides variable mean response (VMR) random coefficients models to...

Using four years of second-by-second executed trade data, we study the intraday effects of a representative group of scheduled economic releases on three exchange rates: EUR/$, JPY/$ and GBP/$. Using wavelets to analyze volatility behavior, we empirically show that intraday volatility clusters...