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We introduce a new method to price American-style options on underlying investments governed by stochastic volatility (SV) models. The method does not require the volatility process to be observed. Instead, it exploits the fact that the optimal decision functions in the corresponding dynamic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013078765
The recent evolution of prudential regulation establishes a new requirement for banks and supervisors to perform reverse stress test exercises in their risk assessment processes, aimed at detecting default or near-default scenarios. We propose a reverse stress test methodology based on a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012322078
We present a stochastic simulation forecasting model for stress testing that is aimed at assessing banks’ capital … the essential features of the forecasting model on which it is based. Also, for illustrative purposes and to show in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011890804
Certificates are structured financial instruments that aim to provide investors with investment solutions tailored to their needs. Certificates can be modeled using a bond component and a derivative component, typically an options strategy. The pricing of certificates is typically performed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014327175
Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods have an important role in solving high dimensionality stochastic problems characterized by computational complexity. Given their critical importance, there is need for network and security risk management research to relate the MCMC quantitative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013029835
One-way coupling often occurs in multi-dimensional stochastic models in finance. In this paper, we develop a highly efficient Monte Carlo (MC) method for pricing European options under a N-dimensional one-way coupled model, where N is arbitrary. The method is based on a combination of (i) the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013029894
This paper puts forward kernel ridge regression as an approach for forecasting with many predictors that are related … overfitting. We extend the kernel ridge regression methodology to enable its use for economic time-series forecasting, by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011382698
We propose a new approach to deal with structural breaks in time series models. The key contribution is an alternative dynamic stochastic specification for the model parameters which describes potential breaks. After a break new parameter values are generated from a so-called baseline prior...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013130370
This paper puts forward kernel ridge regression as an approach for forecasting with many predictors that are related … overfitting. We extend the kernel ridge regression methodology to enable its use for economic time-series forecasting, by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013131602
We propose a new approach to deal with structural breaks in time series models. The key contribution is an alternative dynamic stochastic specification for the model parameters which describes potential breaks. After a break new parameter values are generated from a so-called baseline prior...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325904