Crinò and Epifani (2012) report and discuss two empirical regularities they find in a representative sample of Italian manufacturing firms. First, there is a negative correlation between firms' productivity and their export share to low-income destinations. Second, there is a negative...

Die vorliegende Untersuchung stützt sich auf Lehrveranstaltungen und Forschungsprojekte über eine Zeitspanne von 15 Jahren. Dabei geht es um die Evaluation der Entwicklungspolitik führender Geberstaaten (Vereinigte Staaten, Japan, Grossbritannien, Frankreich, Niederlande und Deutschland) und...

In this study we evaluate the forecast performance of model averaged forecasts based on the predictive likelihood carrying out a prior sensitivity analysis regarding Zellner's g prior. The main results are fourfold: First the predictive likelihood does always better than the traditionally...

Ciccone and Jarocínski (2010) show that inference in Bayesian model averaging (BMA) can be highly sensitive to small changes in the dependent variable. In particular they demonstrate that the importance of growth determinants in explaining growth varies tremendously over different revisions of...

This paper addresses the relative importance of monetary indicators for forecasting inflation in the euro area in a Bayesian framework. Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA)based on predictive likelihoods provides a framework that allows for the estimation of inclusion probabilities of a particular...