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Using the simple arbitrage model, we decompose real appreciation in tradables in three Central European countries between the pricing-to-market component (disparity) and the local relative price component (substitution ratio). Appreciation is only partially explained by local relative prices....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005181143
To study the effect of the euro on international goods trade one typically estimates a panel model for the level of … euro is only present at the end of the sample, this may have led to an upward bias in existing euro estimates to help … have different effects across country-pairs. Data on industrialized countries over 1967-2002 show the existing euro effects …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011334328
The consensus back in 2008 – ten years after the introduction of the euro – was that the adoption of a common currency … had made a limited impact of around 2% in total on the trade flows of the first wave of euro area countries (Baldwin et al …., 2008). Since then, six more countries have joined the euro area, and firms have internationalised their production …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012650865
no evidence of a euro effect on trade flows among early euro adopters up to the year 2002. Second, this finding is robust … to extending the sample period to incorporate data up to 2013, covering five additional euro accessions. Third, while … there is no robust evidence of a euro effect, there is evidence that intra-EU trade flows have expanded faster than the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011597238
How do trade costs affect international trade? This paper offers a new approach. We rely on a flexible gravity equation that predicts variable trade cost elasticities, both across and within country pairs. We apply this framework to the effect of currency unions on international trade. While we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011867116
The gravity model of trade is used to assess the economic consequences of new borders, which arose in the wake of break-ups of multinational federations in Eastern Europe. The intensity of trade relations among the constituent parts of Czechoslovakia, Soviet Union and the Baltics was very high...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010514292
The gravity model of trade is utilized to assess the impact of disintegration on trade. The analysis is based on three recent disintegration episodes involving the former Soviet Union, Yugoslavia and Czechoslovakia. The results point to a very strong home bias around the time of disintegration,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010519058
Evaluating the economic impact of an FTA is an important part of the monitoring and surveying process that should follow the establishment of an FTA. This paper presents methods for evaluating the trade and welfare effects of an FTA. These methods show how to (i) compute indicators for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011283430
International fragmentation of production and economic integration change the structure of international trade. Novel datasets reveal how production processes are unbundled across borders and connected internationally through Global Value Chains (GVCs). Yet, the impact of Economic Integration...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011414190
This study presents quantitative and qualitative assessments of potential consequences of the trade agreement between the EU and Mercosur countries. It is embedded in a wider Association Agreement and was made public in summer 2019. The focus is on Austria. One objective of the agreement is to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012264568