Showing 1 - 10 of 67,878
This study investigates the relationship between inflation, inflation uncertainty and output in Tunisia using real and … nominal data. GARCH-in-mean model with lagged variance equation is employed for the analysis. The result shows that inflation … uncertainty has a positive and significant effect on the level of inflation only in the real term. Moreover, inflation uncertainty …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010956143
The study applies a BEKK GARCH-M model to examine the effect of uncertainty on the levels of inflation and output … output growth, supporting the Friedman's (1977) hypothesis of a negative effect of inflation uncertainty on output growth …. Uncertainty about growth does not have a significant effect on both the levels of inflation and output growth. The evidence in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012112228
The study applies a BEKK GARCH-M model to examine the effect of uncertainty on the levels of inflation and output … output growth, supporting the Friedman’s (1977) hypothesis of a negative effect of inflation uncertainty on output growth …. Uncertainty about growth does not have a significant effect on both the levels of inflation and output growth. The evidence in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012102787
This paper estimates a time-varying AR-GARCH model of inflation producing measures of inflation uncertainty for the … change associated with the start of EMU in 1999. The main findings are as follows. Steadystate inflation and inflation … can achieve lower inflation uncertainty by lowering the inflation rate. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605275
This paper estimates a time-varying AR-GARCH model of inflation producing measures of inflation uncertainty for the … policy regime change associated with the start of EMU in 1999. The main findings are as follows. Steady-state inflation and … inflation uncertainty have declined steadily since the inception of EMU, whilst short-run uncertainty has increased, mainly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010271965
inflation, as hypothesized by Friedman. To the extent that inflation uncertainty has negative output effects, this strengthens … monthly inflation in India in the period 1957-2005, with causation running from inflation to uncertainty about future …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005824040
This paper studies the impact of inflation on inflation uncertainty in a modelling framework where both the conditional … mean and conditional variance of inflation are regime specific, and the GARCH model for inflation uncertainty is extended … by including a lagged inflation term in each regime. Applying this model to the G7 countries with monthly data from 1970 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255444
This paper investigates the links between inflation, its uncertainty and economic growth in five ASEAN countries over … three variables. The major findings are: (i) inflation uncertainty increases more in response to positive inflation … surprises than to negative surprises in all countries; (ii) inflationary shocks affect positively inflation uncertainty as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010729126
Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to establish a link between inflation uncertainty and interest rates for five … inflation-targeting countries. Design/methodology/approach – The approach takes the form of a time-varying parameter model with … and structural uncertainty. Findings – This study attempts to establish a link between inflation uncertainty and interest …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010814543
This study examines the dynamic relationship between monthly inflation and inflation uncertainty in Japan, the US and … autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model to generate a measure of inflation uncertainty, the empirical evidence … from both the linear vector autoregressive (VAR) and nonparametric regression models show that higher inflation rates lead …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010616584