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autoregressive model for the inflation rate. By construction, our approach avoids a number of problems related to the GMM estimation … of the NKPC. We estimate the hybrid NKPC with quarterly U.S. data (1955:1–2010:3), and both expected future inflation and … lagged inflation are found important in determining the inflation rate, with the former clearly dominating. Moreover …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010608456
Relying on the backward-looking Phillips curve, we estimate the level of inflation that erodes price rigidity and … varying threshold inflation levels. Studying six advanced countries over the 1970-2012 period, our results show that both the … slope of the Phillips curve and the threshold trend inflation that erodes price rigidity are time varying. These …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010610177
Relying on the backward-looking Phillips curve; we estimate the level of inflation that erodes price rigidity and … varying threshold inflation levels. Studying six advanced countries over the 1970-2012 period; our results show that both the … slope of the Phillips curve and the threshold; trend inflation that erodes price rigidity are time varying. These …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010610334
The paper explores the existence and the stability of Phillips curve for North Cyprus, a small developing economy, using time series data. ADF unit root test is employed to check for stationarity. ARDL and DOLS approaches to cointegration have been used to explore the long run relation and ECM...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008805480
We analyze cross-household inflation dispersion in Europe using “fictitious” monthly inflation rates for several … to 2008. Our analysis is carried out on a panel of 23 up to 27 household-specific inflation rates per country for 15 … cross-country differences in inflation inequality with respect to the number of driving forces in the panel. In particular …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008852139
This paper develops a factor model for forecasting inflation in the euro area. The model can handle variables with … walk forecasts, a hard to beat benchmark for euro area inflation forecasts in recent years, at horizons of and beyond nine … current and future euro area inflation from new data releases. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008854419
inflation. In terms of the sticky information theory, this environment may provide few incentives for agents to update … information on inflation and then a new slope of the sticky information Phillips curve should be observed. We estimate the degree … threshold models we identify regimes of high and low inflation and find that each regime is associated with a specific degree of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010900654
This paper is a first attempt to measure and analyze inflation uncertainty in Pakistan. It makes several contributions … to the literature. In the first stage, using quarterly data from 1976:01 to 2008:02, we model inflation uncertainty as a … time varying process using the GARCH framework. In the second stage, we analyze the asymmetric behavior of inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010905727
in ERPT to CPI inflation for the Finnish economy. Within a logistic smooth transition framework, our investigations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010936534
on economic indicators. The Two channels which oil price changes directly or indirectly affect inflation as the most … present paper attempts to investigate the nature and causes of oil price pass-through into inflation in the short …/3. The findings showed that the oil price pass-through into inflation in both short-and-long term were Positive and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010938185