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This paper criticises the econometric inflation uncertainty proxies found in the literature, which show an overly … literature and the evidence conveyed by the literature on surveys of inflation expectations. While the latter shows that actual … inflation level – inflation uncertainty link. Next, the performance of inflation forecasts from both the Central Bank of Brazil …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005061665
Any measure of unobserved inflation uncertainty relies on specific assumptions which are most likely not fulfilled … indicator for inflation uncertainty. Moreover, the idiosyncratic component of survey disagreement contains systematic … that higher inflation is followed by higher uncertainty. By contrast, we obtain contradictory results for the individual …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010312179
This paper explores bidirectional linkage between inflation and its uncertainty by observing monthly data of 11 Eastern … European countries. The methodological approach comprises two steps. First, inflation uncertainty series have been created by … choosing an optimal Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity- (GARCH) type model. Subsequently, inflation and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011890489
coastal provinces. A probit analysis suggests that the forwardlooking inflation component and the output gap are important …We model provincial inflation in China during the reform period. In particular, we are interested in the ability of the … hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve (NKPC) to capture the inflation process at the provincial level. The study highlights …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604875
We use parametric power ARCH models of the conditional variance of inflation to model the relationship between … inflation and its uncertainty using monthly data for Germany, the Netherlands and Sweden over a period ranging from 1962 to 2004 ….For all three countries inflation significantly raises inflation uncertainty as predicted by Friedman. Increased …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274364
longerterm interest rate and output effects and focuses on U.S. and Japanese liquidity as relevant proxies for global … inflation and is shown to be Granger-causal for euro area inflation in an out-of-sample forecasting exercise. In part, this … contrast, the influence of Japanese and euro area excess liquidity on euro area inflation is more limited. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010299143
changeover, Italian retailers have increased the number of price adjustments, which has translated into a higher inflation rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274996
changeover, Italian retailers have increased the number of price adjustments, which has translated into a higher inflation rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010286297
This paper examines the presence of asymmetric behavior in exchange rate pass-through (ERPT) to CPI inflation in 12 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010309815
This paper examines the presence of asymmetric behavior in exchange rate pass-through (ERPT) to CPI inflation in 12 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010310642