This paper uses disaggregated CPI time series to show that a break in the mean of French inflation occurred in the mid … mean break, both aggregate and sectoral inflation persistence are stable and low, with the unit root lying far in the tail … price changes (at the firm level) appears positively related with inflation persistence (at the aggregate level). …

This paper analyses the degree of price rigidity and of inflation persistence across different product categories with … inflation persistence, we find that, for most of the EU15 countries as well as for the EU15 and the euro area aggregates …, excluding services from the full HICP results in a reduction in the measured degree of inflation persistence; for regulated …

from 1 quarter in case of a cost-push shock to several years for a shock to long-run inflation expectations or the output …Time series estimates of inflation persistence incur an upward bias if shifts in the inflation target of the central … bank remain unaccounted for. Using a structural time series approach we measure different sorts of inflation persistence …

looking pricing account for the observed persistence in aggregate inflation. Second, price-setting responds to movements in … marginal costs, which should therefore be the driving force to observed inflation dynamics. This is not always the case in … conditions under which imposing homogeneity results in overestimating a backward-looking component in (aggregate) inflation, and …

This paper studies factors behind inflation dynamics in the euro area, the UK and the US. It introduces a factor … inflation in the three economies. The FAVAR model framework is also applied to study the effects on inflation subcomponents in … the more recent past. The FAVAR models suggest that headline inflation in the three economies has reacted in a relatively …

inflation. We find that based on a cointegrated VAR model there is a positive long-run relationship between inflation and the … found does not sufficiently take into account changes in policy settings following the high inflation experiences in the …

In this paper, I apply univariate and vector autoregressive (VAR) models to forecast inflation in Vietnam. To … properties of inflation in Vietnam. Then, I compute the pseudo out-of-sample root mean square error (RMSE) as a measure of … forecasting models from among the different candidates. I find that VAR_m2 is the best monthly model to forecast inflation in …

Inflation expectations play a crucial role for monetary policy transmission, having become even more important since … determinants of professional inflation expectations for the G7 economies. We emphasize the role of international spillovers in … inflation expectations stemming from monetary policy decisions in the US. We also consider several possible determinants, such …

testing approach to cointegration. Empirical results indicated that inflation in Nigeria proxied by CPI exhibited a strong … degree of inertia. The econometric results showed that past inflation and average rainfall appeared to have been the main … supply in the inflation process, lending credence to the dominance of the monetarist proposition on inflation dynamics in …