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variable for Swedish inflation than the output gap. However, standard errors in the estimations are large and it is in fact … difficult to pin down a statistically significant relationship between either real marginal cost or the output gap and inflation. … superior to the traditional output gap. In this paper, a marginal-cost based New Keynesian Phillips curve is estimated on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010320755
This study provides country-specific empirical evidence on the optimal inflation-growth threshold in the WAMZ over the … economies generally focused on exogenous approaches of determining optimal inflation which impose a sharp and most often linear … behaviour on the threshold level of inflation. This paper contributes to the policy debate on the inflationgrowth nexus by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014560171
this policy strategy could have largely prevented the post-pandemic inflation episode. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014635077
Inflation is a monetary phenomenon. While this statement is widely accepted in terms of a long-run relationship, the … quantity theory has been made operational also for the short-run dynamics of inflation by so-called Pstar models. An error … inflation. The response of the HICP is strongly positive. Other factors such as raw material prices and unit labor costs also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010265458
This paper deals with a critical assessment and a reestimation of the "non-accelerating in ation rate of unemployment" (NAIRU) for Germany. There are quite a few obstacles to perceiving the NAIRU as an understandable and easy-to-use analytical instrument, suitable for economic policy: the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010297287
Phillips curve, the sum of coefficients associated with expected inflation is far beyond unity, whatever measure of expected … inflation rates is employed. Therefore, either the NAIRU concept is not applicable to Germany or, as it is our suggestion, one … estimates the unemployment rate that is compatible with a tolerable inflation rate of say 2 percent following roughly the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010297970
In this paper we develop and estimate a behavioral model of inflation dynamics with monopolistic competition, staggered … naive. Fundamentalists are forward-looking in the sense that they believe in a present-value relationship between inflation … forecast future inflation. Agents are allowed to switch between these different forecasting strategies conditional on their …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326298
I study the diffusion process of permanent disinflationary shocks in the Mexican economy using disaggregated price data for 283 goods across 46 cities in the period 1995-2012. I first show that the distribution of shocks shows considerable heterogeneity, with more than 80% of all cases having...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010392370
Recently a market in options based on CPI inflation (inflation caps and floors) has emerged in the US. This paper uses … quotes on these derivatives to construct probability densities for inflation. We study how these pdfs respond to news … empirical pricing kernels. The options-implied densities assign considerably more mass to extreme inflation outcomes (either …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010397781
We analyze cross-household inflation dispersion in Europe using "fictitious" monthly inflation rates for several … to 2008. Our analysis is carried out on a panel of 23 up to 27 household-specific inflation rates per country for 15 … cross-country differences in inflation inequality with respect to the number of driving forces in the panel. In particular …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010420859