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In this paper, I develop a joint affine macro-finance model of the term structures of US Treasury yields and US corporate bond yields to study the interrelation between corporate lending conditions and the macro economy. A model with inflation, industrial production growth and three latent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013093473
We analyze the effect of monetary policy on yield spreads between corporate bonds with different credit ratings over the business cycle. We use futures contracts to distinguish between expected and unexpected changes in the Fed funds target rate and several indicators to distinguish between...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013070170
The paper describes the results of estimation of a factor-augmented vector autoregressive model that relates the markup on mortgage loans in national currency, granted to households by monetary financial institutions, and 1-month inter-bank rate that represents the cost of funds for financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013075762
This paper uses a factor-augmented vector autoregressive model (FAVAR) estimated on U.S. data in order to analyze monetary transmission via private sector balance sheets, credit risk spreads and asset markets in an integrated setup and to explore the role of monetary policy in the three...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013038915
This paper studies the macroeconomic determinants of the term structures of Treasury yields, corporate bond credit spreads, and corporate bond liquidity spreads in a unified no-arbitrage framework. Four economic factors, monetary conditions, inflation, real output, and financial market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012896270
We introduce a novel methodology to hedge changes in the market values of credit exposures using equity put options. Our new hedge ratios are derived from the application of contingent-claims valuation and are fundamentally different from existing hedging methods aimed at neutralizing the loss...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012899240
I study the term structure of credit default swap spreads to understand the dynamics of global and country-specific risk factors in explaining the time-variation in sovereign credit risk. The analysis suggests that the shape of the term structure conveys significant information on the relative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012938644
We define a disastrous default as the default of a systemic entity. Such an event is expected to have a negative effect on the economy and to be contagious. Bringing macroeconomic structure to a noarbitrage asset-pricing framework, we exploit prices of disaster-exposed assets (credit and equity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012823414
The shape of the term structure of credit default swap spreads is an informative signal about the relative importance of global and domestic risk factors to the time variation of sovereign credit spreads. Using a geographically dispersed panel of 44 countries, I show that the relative importance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013005733
In this paper, we propose a quadratic term-structure model of the EURIBOR-OIS spreads. As opposed to OIS, EURIBOR rates incorporate credit and liquidity risks. Indeed, a bank that lends on the unsecured market requires compensations for facing (a) the risk of default of the borrowing bank and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013007148