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This study supplies empirical evidence on the dynamic interactions between the property markets in Germany and the United Kingdom and their country‐specific macroeconomic environment. Using a VECM framework, the findings contribute to improving the evaluation of the properties’ behaviour by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010975418
The components of GDP (residential investment, durables, nondurables, equipment and software, and business structures) display a pronounced lead-lag structure. We investigate the implications of this lead-lag structure for the cross-section of asset returns. We find that the leading GDP...
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In this paper we examine empirically the closed-end fund puzzle for stock quoted Swiss real estate mutual funds in 1970-2003. For this period shares of those mutual funds are predominately quoted with a premium to the net asset value. Using a panel approach we examine whether both the rational...
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The term structures of return volatility for UK and US direct and securitized commercial real estate are compared using vector autoregressions. To capture the dynamics of the real estate asset markets it is important to include valuation ratios specific to the asset market analyzed. In the UK,...
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We estimate an identical vector autoregressive (VAR) model with house prices for 14 European industrial countries, 7 Central and Eastern European (CEE) countries and the US. Using counterfactual simulations of consumption and investment responses to policy rate induced house price shocks, we...
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