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This paper studies the impact of international capital flows on asset prices through risk premia. We investigate whether foreign purchases of U.S. Treasury securities significantly contributed to the decline in excess returns on long-term bonds between 1995 and 2008. We run forecasting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003981333
The purpose of this paper investigates the direction of causality between the monthly stock returns and the monthly net foreign investor flows, and the existence of feedback trading by foreign investors for the "blue chip" stocks of the Istanbul Stock Exchange (ISE), an emerging stock market....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013084445
We investigate whether foreign purchases of long-term U.S. Treasury securities significantly affect their expected excess-returns. We run predictive regressions of realized excess returns on measures of net purchases of treasuries by both foreign official and private agents. We find that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012857491
Economic assets can be classified into two broad categories: those earning an inherent return and those earning a fiat money return. This article shows that both are valued according to the same general principle based on GDP (a constant equal to expected long term real per capita GDP growth)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013405892
The paper models foreign capital inflow in a multi-period framework from the developed to the developing countries. The market for foreign loan together with the foreign exchange market simultaneously determines interest rate in the international loan market and the exchange rate. We also derive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013004405
In this note we make use of theAverage Internal Rate of Return (AIRR) approach, first introduced in Magni (2010), to introduce a pair of metrics, opposed to IRR and TWRR, which measure the manager's performance and the investor's performance on the basis of the market values of the fund. We also...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012978556
We introduce a new meaure of risk appetite in financial markets, based on the cross sectional behavior of excess returns. Turning them into probabilities through a Markov Switching model, we define one global risk appetite measure as the cross-sectional average of the individual probabilities...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013034992
A growing number of papers have studied positive and normative implications of financial frictions in DSGE models. We contribute to this literature by studying the welfare-based monetary policy in a two-country model characterized by financial frictions, alongside a number of key features, like...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009008186
A growing number of papers have studied positive and normative implications of financial frictions in DSGE models. We contribute to this literature by studying the welfare-based monetary policy in a two-country model characterized by financial frictions, alongside a number of key features, like...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013125365
A growing number of papers have studied positive and normative implications of financial frictions in DSGE models. We contribute to this literature by studying the welfare-based monetary policy in a two-country model characterized by financial frictions, alongside a number of key features, like...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013008558