This paper shows that market breadth, i.e. the difference between the average number of rising stocks and the average number of falling stocks within a portfolio, is a robust predictor of future stock returns on market and industry portfolios for 64 countries for the period between 1973 and...

The forward perspectives for the 60/40 portfolio have deteriorated, since secular tailwinds (that have benefited equities) are fading and stock-bond correlation may become positive. For this reason, allocating to uncorrelated strategies seems rational. In this paper we develop a long-only...

The performance of the widely used betting-against-beta (BAB) investment strategy is improved by controlling for the stochastic dominance (SD) relation between individual stocks and the market portfolio. Dominating stocks, preferred by all risk-averse and prudent investors, are excluded from the...

We review the international finance literature to assess the extent to which international factors affect financial asset demands and prices. International asset-pricing models with mean-variance investors predict that an asset's risk premium depends on its covariance with the world market...

This paper presents a portfolio construction approach that combines the hierarchical clustering of a large asset universe with the stock price momentum. On the one hand, investing in high-momentum stocks stabilizes portfolio performance across economic regimes and enhances risk-adjusted returns....

With the collapse of LTCM in 1998, global macro investing / trading suffered a severe blow in terms of acceptance in the markets. Because of many highly leveraged hedge funds, investors and counterparts lost serious money, markets were at the brink of destabilisation and the regulators had to...

Traditional portfolio theory predicts that investors' portfolios should be diversified across international markets. In contrast, empirical studies document that investors are more likely to invest in their home country and in foreign markets that are culturally similar to and geographically...

This paper takes a systematic look at the portfolio choice problem faced by investment banks or funds investing in transition economies. We relate the performance of projects in the transition economies to the broader macroeconomic and international environment, which affect the project through...

We propose a "debt view" to explain the dominant international role of the dollar. We develop an international general equilibrium model in which firms optimally choose the currency composition of their nominal debt. Expansionary monetary policy in downturns prevents Fisherian debt deflation...

The aim is to show how and when government insolvency implies a fixed exchange rate regime crisis. To model these issues I try to unify a stylized macroeconomic model with a standard micro agent behavior toward asset pricing. The equilibrium condition between demand and supply of public debt,...