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Calculating a large number of tail probabilities or tail quantiles for a given distribution families becomes very challenging, if both the cumulative and the inverse distribution function are not available in closed form. In case of the Gaussian and Student t distribution, quantile...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010299752
One of the biggest risks arising from financial operations is the risk of counterparty default, commonly known as a credit risk. Leaving unmanaged, the credit risk would, with a high probability, result in a crash of a bank. In our paper, we will focus on the credit risk quantification...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322287
Two new measures for financial systemic risk are computed based on the time-varying conditional and unconditional probability of simultaneous failures of several financial institutions. These risk measures are derived from a multivariate model that allows for skewed and heavy-tailed changes in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326546
We develop a novel high-dimensional non-Gaussian modeling framework to infer measures of conditional and joint default risk for numerous financial sector firms. The model is based on a dynamic Generalized Hyperbolic Skewed-t block-equicorrelation copula with time-varying volatility and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605882
This article develops, a lattice-based approach for pricing contingent claims when parameters governing the logs of the underlying asset dynamics are modelled by generalized hyperbolic distribution and normal inverse Gaussian distribution. The pentanomial lattice is constructed using a moment...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011988781
In this thesis we propose a risk management methodology to high-dimensional financial portfolios. Instead of estimating the joint density of the portfolios in a high-dimensional space, we are encouraged by using the independent component analysis (ICA) to decompose the dependent risk factors to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009467202
An important empirical fact in financial market is that return distributions are often skewed and heavy-tailed. This paper employs maximum likelihood estimation to estimate the five parameters of generalized hyperbolic distribution, a highly flexible heavy-tailed distribution. The estimation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009467247
We develop a novel high-dimensional non-Gaussian modeling framework to infer measures of conditional and joint default risk for many financial sector firms. The model is based on a dynamic Generalized Hyperbolic Skewed-t block-equicorrelation copula with time-varying volatility and dependence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011442897