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We propose to incorporate cross-sectional heterogeneity into structural VARs. Heterogeneity provides an additional dimension along which one can identify structural shocks and perform hypothesis tests. We provide an application to bank runs, based on microeconomic deposit market data. We impose...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013132500
We analyze financial risk premiums and real economic dynamics in a DSGE model with three types of agents - shareholders, bondholders and workers - that differ in participation in the capital market and in terms of risk aversion. Aggregate productivity and distribution risk are shared among these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013137646
Fiscal theorists warn about the risk of future inflation as a consequence of current fiscal imbalances in the US. Because actual inflation remains historically low and data on inflation expectations do not corroborate such risks, warnings for fiscal inflation are often ignored in policy and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013073365
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014438356
We analyze financial risk premiums and real economic dynamics in a DSGE model with three types of agents - shareholders, bondholders and workers - that differ in participation in the capital market and in attitude towards risk and intertemporal sub- stitution. Aggregate productivity and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003921122
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009125840
Macroeconomic research often relies on structural vector autoregressions to uncover empirical regularities. Critics argue the method goes awry due to lag truncation: short lag-lengths imply a poor approximation to DSGE-models. Empirically, short lag-length is deemed necessary as increased...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009761529
Fiscal theorists warn about the risk of future in.ation as a consequence of current fiscal imbalances in the US. Because actual in.ation remains historically low and data on inflation expectations do not corroborate such risks, warnings for fiscal inflation are often ignored in policy and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010202996
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010499756
Forward guidance policies are often argued to stimulate economic activity by reducing nominal long term interest rates. We document why a lower nominal long rate is neither necessary nor sufficient for forward guidance to be successful. We determine the mechanisms behind widely varying long rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010460180