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The NAIRU is a key component of potential output and as such critically affects output gap estimates. In May 2014, the … European Commission changed its specification of the NAIRU for several countries and lowered its NAIRU estimates - in the case … of Spain from 26.6% to 20.7% for 2015. To test the dependence of the new NAIRU on unemployment versus structural factors …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010458229
The conventional wisdom that inflation and unemployment are unrelated in the long-run implies the compartmentalisation of macroeconomics. While one branch of the literature models inflation dynamics and estimates the unemployment rate compatible with inflation stability, another one determines...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003736446
The Phillips curve has generally been estimated in a linear framework. This paper investigates the possibility that the Phillips curve is indeed a curve, and shows that a convex short-run Phillips curve may be a more accurate representation of reality than the traditionally used linear...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013132857
This paper provides new estimates of a time-varying NAIRU for Germany taking account of the structural break caused by … inflation rates is employed. Therefore, either the NAIRU concept is not applicable to Germany or, as it is our suggestion, one … inflation target put forward by the European Central Bank. The estimates presented in this paper suggest that the NAIRU …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012773106
The conventional wisdom that inflation and unemployment are unrelated in the long-run implies the compartmentalisation of macroeconomics. While one branch of the literature models inflation dynamics and estimates the unemployment rate compatible with inflation stability, another one determines...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317465
The paper focuses on the measurement of the NAIRU (Non-Accelerating-Inflation-Rate-of-Unemployment) for the euro area … presents several estimates of the area-wide NAIRU based on a number of direct (or statistical) techniques. The latter range … different estimates of the aggregate NAIRU appear to be consistent and robust with respect to alternative specifications …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013320321
the unemployment benefit replacement rate also play an important role in explaining changes in the NAIRU although there is … explanation of NAIRU dynamics over the period 1978-2003, even though recent decreases are better explained than the earlier surge. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012445623
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011602776
traditional real wage formulation. Implications for the recent behavior of the NAIRU are explored. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011269327
This paper provides new estimates of a time-varying NAIRU for Germany taking account of the structural break caused by … inflation rates is employed. Therefore, either the NAIRU concept is not applicable to Germany or, as it is our suggestion, one … inflation target put forward by the European Central Bank. The estimates presented in this paper suggest that the NAIRU …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008596551