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In this paper we compared two distinct volatility forecasting approaches. GARCH models were contrasted to the models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009786890
In this paper we compared two distinct volatility forecasting approaches. GARCH models were contrasted to the models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010827802
We discuss several multivariate extensions of the Multiplicative Error Model to take into account dynamic interdependence and contemporaneously correlated innovations (vector MEM or vMEM). We suggest copula functions to link Gamma marginals of the innovations, in a specification where past...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011755372
We discuss several multivariate extensions of the Multiplicative Error Model to take into account dynamic interdependence and contemporaneously correlated innovations (vector MEM or vMEM). We suggest copula functions to link Gamma marginals of the innovations, in a specification where past...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011654447
Models based on factors such as size, value, or momentum are ubiquitous in asset pricing. Therefore, portfolio allocation and risk management require estimates of the volatility of these factors. While realized volatility has become a standard tool for liquid individual assets, this measure is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012030917
Models based on factors such as size, value, or momentum are ubiquitous in asset pricing. Therefore, portfolio allocation and risk management require estimates of the volatility of these factors. While realized volatility has become a standard tool for liquid individual assets, this measure is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011860248
Realized volatility of financial time series generally shows a slow–moving average level from the early 2000s to recent times, with alternating periods of turmoil and quiet. Modeling such a pattern has been variously tackled in the literature with solutions spanning from long–memory, Markov...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010862522
There is a growing literature on the realized volatility (RV) forecasting of asset returns using high-frequency data. We explore the possibility of forecasting RV with factor analysis; once considering the significant jumps. A real high-frequency financial data application suggests that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010678826
the return, and GARCH and GJR-GARCH specifications for the variance equation. Moreover, we also consider a non Gaussian …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009021695
enables to examine simultaneous dependencies between them. Proposed models are compared with benchmark GARCH and range …-based GARCH (RGARCH) models in terms of prediction accuracy. All models are estimated with maximum likelihood method, using time …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011170258