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Although in modern monetary economics it is usually assumed that inflation expectations play a prominent role when economic agents set prices and wages, the empirical evidence for this link is scarce. This paper aims to identify the effect of changes in inflation expectations on prices and wages...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008746433
Rising government debt levels around the world are raising the specter that authorities might seek to inflate away the debt. In theoretical settings where fiscal policy "dominates"monetary policy, higher debt without offsetting changes in primary surpluses should lead households to anticipate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012437870
We implement a survey of Dutch households in which random subsets of respondents receive information about inflation. The resulting exogenously generated variation in inflation expectations is used to assess how expectations affect subsequent monthly consumption decisions relative to those in a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012056956
We compare the causal effects of forward guidance communication about future interest rates on households' expectations of inflation, mortgage rates, and unemployment to the effects of communication about future inflation in a randomized controlled trial using more than 25,000 U.S. individuals...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012177886
Rising government debt levels around the world are raising the specter that authorities might seek to inflate away the debt. In theoretical settings where fiscal policy "dominates" monetary policy, higher debt without offsetting changes in primary surpluses should lead households to anticipate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012431761
We study how different forms of communication influence the inflation expectations of individuals in a randomized controlled trial. We first solicit individuals' inflation expectations in the Nielsen Homescan panel and then provide eight different forms of information regarding inflation....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011958866
We compare the causal effects of forward guidance communication about future interest rates on households' expectations of inflation, mortgage rates, and unemployment to the effects of communication about future inflation in a randomized controlled trial using more than 25,000 U.S. individuals...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012171803
This paper uses microdata from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's Household Inflation Expectations survey to obtain an accurate read of households' true inflation expectations by studying how different demographic groups respond (or do not respond) to the inflation expectations question in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014442324
The aim of this study is to provide an overview of the main characteristics of expectations of professional forecasters, households and firms in respect of Hungarian inflation trends. In countries where an inflation targeting regime is in place, inflation expectations are of key importance from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010437183
We compare the causal effects of forward guidance communication about future interest rates on households' expectations of inflation, mortgage rates, and unemployment to the effects of communication about future inflation in a randomized controlled trial using more than 25,000 U.S. individuals...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012840692