1970s’ United States would not have prevented the Great Inflation. We show that a standard policy counterfactual suggests … that the Bundesbank–which is near-universally credited for sparing West Germany the Great Inflation–would also not have … been able to prevent the Great Inflation in the United States. The sheer implausibility of this result sounds a cautionary …

We use a Bayesian time-varying parameters structural VAR with stochastic volatility for GDP deflator inflation, real … Inflation was due, to a dominant extent, to large demand non-policy shocks, and to a lesser extent - especially in 1973 and 1979 … difference in terms of inflation and output growth outcomes; and (3) mechanically 'bringing the Monetary Policy Committee back in …

There is no consensus over the importance of "global forces" on inflation. This study explores the role of structural … breaks in the inflation process, and their timing, whether it is common across countries, and the extent to which "global … forces" are relevant. Three conclusions stand out. Global inflation impacts inflation in both AE and EME, but the impact is …

deflator inflation, real GDP growth, and the rate of growth of M2. We identify 4 shocks–monetary policy, demand non …, with (e.g.) significant increases in the long-run coefficients on inflation and money growth around the time of the Volcker … macroeconomic environment of the last two decades. First, the Great Inflation was due, to a dominant extent, to large demand non …

Inflation Targeting monetary policy framework. Since the collapse of the Soviet Union, each of the fifteen newly created … of an Inflation Targeting policy in August 2015. At the same time, a number of researches show that Inflation Targeting … contemporaneous monetary shocks on domestic inflation behavior, which also take into account various features of the small open …

index of monetary conditions; dynamic forecasts of inflation; and the relation between inflation and the output gap …

-causes inflation in the euro area. Based on data from 1970 to 2006 and forecasting horizons of up to 12 quarters, there is surprisingly … power of money growth for inflation is substantially lower in more recent sample periods compared to the 1970s and 1980s …. This cautions against using money-based inflation models anchored in very long samples for policy advice. …