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In this note we propose model selection criteria (MSC) for unconditional moment models using empirical likelihood (EL) statistics in the construction of the MSC The use of EL-statistics in lieu of the more common J-statistics leads to a much more transparent interpretation of the MSC by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293457
First and higher order digits in data sets of natural and socio-economic processes often follow a distribution called Benford's law. This phenomenon has been used in many business and scientific applications, especially in fraud detection for financial data. In this paper, we analyse whether...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295869
When calculating the cost of entering into a credit transaction the predominant stochastic component is the expected loss. Often in the credit business the one-year probability of default of the liable counterpart is the only reliable parameter. We use this probability to calculating the exact...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010296616
A large market economy has a huge number of degrees of freedom with weak microlevel coordination. The 'implicit microfoundations' approach assumes this property of micro-level interactions more strongly conditions macro-level outcomes compared to the precise details of individual choice...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298577
A large market economy has a huge number of degrees of freedom with weak microlevel coordination. The 'implicit microfoundations' approach considers this property of micro-level interactions to more strongly determine macro-level outcomes compared to the precise details of individual choice...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298637
Earlier studies which applied the family of stable Paretian distributions to financial data are inconclusive and contradictory. In this article I estimate the parameters of the model by the Feuerverger-McDunnough method which enables the application of maximum likelihood rhethods. Based on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010299603
Expected Utility theory is not only applied to individual choices but also to ethical decisions, e.g. in cost-benefit analysis of climate change policy measures that affect future generations. In this context the crucial question arises whether EU theory is able to deal with 'catastrophic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010301695
Fiktion notwendig ist, aber eine Fiktion bleibt. Aber was heisst es für die (ökonomische) Theorie der Zukunftsentscheidungen …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011381300
This paper explores the relationship between dynamic consistency and the existing notions of unambiguous events for Choquet expected utility preferences. A decision maker is faced with an information structure represented by a filtration. We show that the decision maker's preferences respect...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011422193