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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009720755
copulas do not improve the accuracy of volatility forecasts. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011257654
copulas do not improve the accuracy of volatility forecasts. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009293998
We introduce the class of FloGARCH models in this paper. FloGARCH models provide a parsimonious joint model for low frequency returns and realized measures and are sufficiently flexible to capture long memory as well as asymmetries related to leverage effects. We analyze the performances of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011506800
We introduce the class of FloGARCH models in this paper. FloGARCH models provide a parsimonious joint model for low frequency returns and realized measures and are sufficiently flexible to capture long memory as well as asymmetries related to leverage effects. We analyze the performances of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011586235
For forecasting volatility of futures returns, the paper proposes an indirect method based on the relationship between futures and the underlying asset for the returns and time-varying volatility. For volatility forecasting, the paper considers the stochastic volatility model with asymmetry and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011590424
We introduce the class of FloGARCH models in this paper. FloGARCH models provide a parsimonious joint model for low frequency returns and realized measures and are sufficiently flexible to capture long memory as well as asymmetries related to leverage effects. We analyze the performances of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011272800
This paper investigates whether structural breaks and long memory are relevant features in modeling and forecasting the conditional volatility of oil spot and futures prices using three GARCH-type models, i.e., linear GARCH, GARCH with structural breaks and FIGARCH. By relying on a modified...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008738797
This paper extends previous studies by investigating the relevance of structural breaks and long memory in modeling and forecasting the conditional volatility of oil spot and futures prices using a variety of GARCH-type models. Our results can be summarized as follows. First, we provide evidence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010582222
Nowadays, modeling and forecasting the volatility of stock markets have become central to the practice of risk management; they have become one of the major topics in financial econometrics and they are principally and continuously used in the pricing of financial assets and the Value at Risk,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014494424