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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009725301
, which is replicable, as well as intuition, which is non-replicable. Intuition is expert knowledge possessed by a forecaster … updates are progressive, where the interaction between model and intuition is explicitly taken into account. The data set for … the empirical analysis is for Taiwan, where we have three decades of quarterly data available of forecasts and their …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010869918
, which is replicable, as well as intuition, which is non-replicable. Intuition is expert knowledge possessed by a forecaster … updates are progressive, where the interaction between model and intuition is explicitly taken into account. The data set for … the empirical analysis is for Taiwan, where we have three decades of quarterly data available of forecasts and their …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011108725
replicable, as well as intuition, which is non-replicable. Intuition is expert knowledge possessed by a forecaster. If forecast … are progressive, where the interaction between model and intuition is explicitly taken into account. The data set for the … empirical analysis is for Taiwan, where we have three decades of quarterly data available of forecasts and their updates of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256344
updates for Taiwan are progressive, and can be explained predominantly by intuition. Additionally, the one-, two- and three …Macro-economic forecasts typically involve both a model component, which is replicable, as well as intuition, which is … non-replicable. Intuition is expert knowledge possessed by a forecaster. If forecast updates are progressive, forecast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010732635
updates for Taiwan are progressive, and can be explained predominantly by intuition. Additionally, the one-, two- and three …Macro-economic forecasts typically involve both a model component, which is replicable, as well as intuition, which is … non-replicable. Intuition is expert knowledge possessed by a forecaster. If forecast updates are progressive, forecast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008621806
component, which is replicable, as well as intuition (namely, expert knowledge possessed by a forecaster), which is non …-replicable. . Learning from previous mistakes can affect both the replicable component of a model as well as intuition. If learning, and …-economic forecast updates are progressive, where the interaction between model and intuition is explicitly taken into account. The data …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008862832
component, which is replicable, as well as intuition (namely, expert knowledge possessed by a forecaster), which is non …-replicable. . Learning from previous mistakes can affect both the replicable component of a model as well as intuition. If learning, and …-economic forecast updates are progressive, where the interaction between model and intuition is explicitly taken into account. The data …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008864018
) and the ECB, are typically based on econometric model forecasts jointly with human intuition. This seemingly inevitable … intuition; and (iii) the two forecasts are generated from two distinct (but unknown) combinations of different models and … intuition. It is shown that alternative tools are needed to compare and evaluate the forecasts in each of these three situations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010553126
) and the ECB, are typically based on econometric model forecasts jointly with human intuition. This seemingly inevitable … intuition; and (iii) the two forecasts are generated from two distinct (but unknown) combinations of different models and intu¬ition … better than the Staff, and that the intuition of the FOMC does not add significantly in forecasting the actual values of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010556072