We investigate the accuracy of ex ante assessments of vulnerability to income poverty using cross-sectional data and … vulnerability predictions is limited even when panel data are used. In part this low accuracy is due to low poverty incidence and … using the Receiver Operating Characteristics (ROC), which takes account of false positive as well as true positive rates …

We investigate the accuracy of ex ante assessments of vulnerability to income poverty using cross-sectional data and … vulnerability predictions is limited even when panel data are used. In part this low accuracy is due to low poverty incidence and … using the Receiver Operating Characteristics (ROC), which takes account of false positive as well as true positive rates …

We investigate the accuracy of ex ante assessments of vulnerability to income poverty using cross-sectional data and … vulnerability predictions is limited even when panel data are used. In part this low accuracy is due to low poverty incidence and … using the Receiver Operating Characteristics (ROC), which takes account of false positive as well as true positive rates …

We investigate the accuracy of ex ante assessments of vulnerability to income poverty using cross-sectional data and … vulnerability predictions is limited even when panel data are used. In part this low accuracy is due to low poverty incidence and … Receiver Operating Characteristics (ROC), which takes account of false positive as well as true positive rates. Estimates based …

high mobility in and out of poverty. -- vulnerability ; poverty ; ROC ; German panel data …We investigate the accuracy of ex ante assessments of vulnerability to income poverty using cross-sectional data and … vulnerability predictions is limited even when panel data are used. In part this low accuracy is due to low poverty incidence and …

high mobility. -- vulnerability ; poverty ; ROC ; German panel data …We investigate the accuracy of ex ante assessments of vulnerability to poverty using cross-sectional data and panel … vulnerability predictions is limited even when panel data are used. In part this low accuracy is due to low poverty incidence and …

This paper measures the vulnerability of households in rural India, based upon the ICRISAT panel survey. We employ both … ex ante and ex post measures of vulnerability. The latter are decomposed into aggregate and idiosyncratic risks and … poverty components. Our decomposition shows that idiosyncratic risks account for the largest share, followed by poverty and …

Between 2000 and 2013, Latin America has considerably reduced poverty (from 46.3% to 29.7% of the population). In this … paper, we use synthetic panels to show that, despite progress, the region remains characterized by substantial vulnerability …, and 14% of those in the middle-class, experience poverty at least once over a ten-year period. Furthermore, chronic …

Between 2000 and 2013, Latin America has considerably reduced poverty (from 46.3 to 29.7 % of the population). In this … paper, we use synthetic panels to show that, despite progress, the region remains characterized by substantial vulnerability … 10, and 14 % of those in the middle class experience poverty at least once over a 10-year period. Furthermore, chronic …