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We extend the canonical income process with persistent and transitory risk to shock distributions with left-skewness and excess kurtosis, to which we refer as higherorder risk. We estimate our extended income process by GMM for household data from the United States. We find countercyclical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012182809
We extend the canonical income process with persistent and transitory risk to shock distributions with left-skewness and excess kurtosis, to which we refer as higher-order risk. We estimate our extended income process by GMM for household data from the United States. We find countercyclical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012215285
Germany and the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, and Slovakia (the CE4) have been in a process of deepening economic integration which has lead to the development of a dynamic supply chain within Europe — the Germany-Central European Supply Chain (GCESC). Model-based simulations suggest two...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013073772
Haushaltspolitik. Eine Zerlegung der Entwicklung der Staatsverschuldung seit dem Jahr 2010 zeigt, dass der Schuldenabbau in Deutschland …" noch der Vorwurf, Deutschland sei nur auf Haushaltsdisziplin "versessen", wirklich zutreffend. Die Entwicklungen in den … Konsolidierung bei gleichzeitig hohem Wirtschaftswachstum - also einem sog. "expansionary fiscal adjustment" – stellt Deutschland …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012155258
This paper investigates the effects of government spending on key macroeconomic variables in Germany. It contributes to the ongoing debate on how to properly identify exogenous fiscal shocks in the data and on whether or not the government should intervene in the business cycle. Following Ramey...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011525541
I characterize optimal government policy in a sticky-price economy with different types of consumers and endogenous financial constraints in the banking and entrepreneurial sectors. The competitive equilibrium allocation is constrained inefficient due to a pecuniary externality implicit in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013313881
We present the estimated large-scale three-region DSGE model GEAR picturing Germany, the Euro Area and the Rest of the world. Compared to existing models of this type, GEAR incorporates a comprehensive fiscal block, involuntary unemployment and a complex international structure. We use the model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010516561
The economies of developed countries of the 21st century benefit from the unseen-till-now prosperity; life standard that suffered a hard landing starting with 2007 and that seems to evolve in a chain-saw model for the crisis development. The forecast is based on the first in, last outʺ...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009548649
One of the most often committed mistakes in economic reasoning is the supposition about continuity of economic processes. Yet what dominates in reality is the process of permanent changes which sometimes happen not in a linear but in a cascade way. It must be acknowledged that the capitalist...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012985518