Using formal statistical tests, we detect (i) significant volatility increases for various types of capital flows for a period of changes in business cycle comovement among the G7 countries, and (ii) mixed evidence of changes in covariances and correlations with a set of macroeconomic variables

This paper asks whether bonanzas (surges) in net capital inflows increase the probability of banking crises and whether this is necessarily through a lending boom mechanism. A fixed effects regression analysis indicates that a baseline bonanza, identified as a surge of one s.d. deviation from...

After the 1980s, capital flows have accelerated in the less developed countries and since Salter's seminal paper in 1959, it has been widely accepted that the real exchange rate respond to capital flows. Based on a simple model derived by Sjaastad and Manzur (1996) along the lines of Salter...

Macroeconomic studies of international capital flows have focused on (i) net capital flows across countries, (ii) gross capital flows or (iii) more rarely gross inflows (outflows) computed as the sum of foreign (domestic) acquisitions of domestic (foreign) assets in balance of payments data. In...

While the initial certainty and stark simplicity of the Impossible Trinity have fuzzed and softened over time, this idea still holds a powerful sway over analysis of exchange rates and in the policy debate on capital flows. Yet the practical evidence suggests that the constraints on policy...

Net capital flows to emerging Asia rebounded at a record pace following the global financial crisis, raising concerns about overheating and financial stability. This paper documents the size and composition of the most recent surge to Asian emerging markets from a historical perspective and...