Showing 1 - 10 of 464,599
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011738502
We infer conditional swap rate moments model independently from swaption cubes. Conditional volatility and skewness … skewness sometimes changing sign. Conditional skewness displays some relation to the level and volatility of swap rates but is … exhibit systematic variation across swap maturities and option expiries (conditional kurtosis less so), with conditional …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013008774
We find that interest rate variance risk premium (IRVRP) - the difference between implied and realized variances of interest rates - is a strong predictor of U.S. Treasury bond returns of maturities ranging between one and ten years for return horizons up to six months. IRVRP is not subsumed by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014433708
information, predicting the excess returns of S&P 500 variance swaps, VIX futures, and S&P 500 straddles for all maturities and to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012937549
This paper provides empirical evidence that volatility markets are integrated through the time-varying term structure … of variance risk premia. These risk premia predict the returns from selling volatility for different horizons, maturities …, and products, including variance swaps, straddles, and VIX futures. In addition, the paper derives a closed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011904683
We study the term structure of variance swaps, equity and variance risk premia. A model-free analysis reveals a … significant price jump component in variance swap rates. A model-based analysis shows that investors' willingness to ensure … against volatility risk increases after a market drop. This effect is stronger for short horizons and more persistent for long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011899885
This paper employs a Zero Lower Bound (ZLB) consistent shadow-rate model to decompose UK nominal yields into expectation and term premia components. Compared to a standard affine term structure model, it performs relatively better in a ZLB setting and effectively captures the countercyclical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011339919
Although the affine Gaussian term-structure model has been a workhorse model in termstructuremodelling, it remains doubtful whether it is an appropriate model in a low interest rate environment. This paper uses an alternative quadratic Gaussian-term structure model which is well known to be as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012936800
This paper documents a significantly stronger relationship between the slope of the yield curve and future excess bond returns on Treasuries from 2008-2015 than before 2008. This new predictability result is not matched by the standard shadow rate model with Gaussian factor dynamics, but...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012181201
Libor and OIS rates, the explosion of Basis Swaps spreads, and the diffusion of collateral agreements and CSA …-curve generalization of the market standard SABR model with stochastic volatility. We then report the results of an empirical analysis on … practice from the classical to the modern framework. In particular, we prove that the market of Interest Rate Swaps has …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013115115