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, demand, monetary and entry cost shocks. The variables entering the VAR are output, inflation, the nominal interest rate … demand, consistent with the effect of a consumption preference shock predicted by the model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011618428
What fraction of the business cycle volatility of government purchases is accounted for as endogenous reactions to overall macroeconomic conditions? We answer this question in the framework of a neoclassical representative household model where the provision of a public consumption good is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011757080
line with theory, induce a negative nowcast error but raise economic activity in the short run. They account for up to 30 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010328714
line with theory, induce a negative nowcast error but raise economic activity in the short run. They account for up to 30 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011148853
Using 136 United States macroeconomic indicators from 1973 to 2017, and a factor augmented vector autoregression (FAVAR) framework with sign restrictions, we investigate the effects of three structural macroeconomic shocks - monetary, demand, and supply - on the labour market outcomes of black...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012157899
innovation to stock return correlation in a vector autoregression are nearly identical to those of a news shock about future …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014227600
This paper develops a 9-dimensional SVAR to investigate the sources of the U.S. business cycle. We extend the standard set of identified shocks to include unexpected changes in commodity prices. Our main result is that commodity price shocks are a very important driving force of macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009008065
member states. For this purpose a dynamic Panel VAR model is employed in order to investigate the impact of spatial variables …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011508019
We exploit firm-level data on patent grants and subsequent reactions of stocks to identify technological news shocks. Changes in stock market valuations due to announcements of individual patent grants represent expected future increases in the technology level, which we refer to as patent-based...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014048846
We implement a new approach for the identification of news shocks about future technology. In a VAR featuring a measure … of aggregate technology and several forward-looking variables, we identify the news shock as the shock orthogonal to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013156463