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generating the pre-crisis productivity slowdown, while starting from the Great Recession a shock to liquidity demand is … inflation response following a recessionary shock and hence has important implications for both the negligible fall in inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012834776
This paper analyses the procyclicality of euro area total factor productivity and its role in business cycle amplification by estimating a medium-scale DSGE model with endogenous productivity mechanism on euro area data. Total factor productivity evolves endogenously as a consequence of costly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013228852
experiences a shock forcing it to start learning afresh. Firms differ in their information; more informed firms have lower … posterior variances in beliefs. An uncertainty shock is a rise in the probability that any given firm will lose its information … a prolonged recession followed by anemic recovery in response to an uncertainty shock. When confronted with a rise in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011401309
This paper proposes to exploit data on expectations to identify news shocks in business cycles. News shocks work through changes in expectations, so data on expectations contain important information for identification. We demonstrate this by estimating a DSGE model augmented with news shocks...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012972743
A large empirical literature has examined the transmission mechanism of structural shocks in great detail. The possible role played by changes in the volatility of shocks has largely been overlooked in vector autoregression based applications. This paper proposes an extended vector...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013118954
This paper identifies a precautionary banking liquidity shock via a set of sign, zero and forecast variance … restrictions imposed. The shock proxies the reluctance of the banking sector to "lend" to the real economy induced by an exogenous … change in financial intermediaries' preference for "high" liquid assets. The identified shock has sizeable and state …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012483779
We develop a VAR that allows the estimation of the impact of monetary policy shocks on volatility. Estimates for the US …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011928806
type of shock. Expansionary securitization shocks lead to a permanent rise in real GDP and a fall in inflation. Bank … transmission mechanism of monetary policy. These effects are estimated with a structural VAR model, where the shocks are identified …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010257361
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003386779
-response analysis and find that a global demand shock is as important as oil supply and oil demand shocks in determining the dynamics of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010244566