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This paper analyses the procyclicality of euro area total factor productivity and its role in business cycle amplification by estimating a medium-scale DSGE model with endogenous productivity mechanism on euro area data. Total factor productivity evolves endogenously as a consequence of costly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013228852
We show that TFP reacts counter-cyclically to macroeconomic shocks, which we identify by imposing sign restrictions. Counterfactual simulations, based on a New Keynesian DSGE model, show that firms manage to employ labor more efficiently during downturns, which leads to a muted drop in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010489298
experiences a shock forcing it to start learning afresh. Firms differ in their information; more informed firms have lower … posterior variances in beliefs. An uncertainty shock is a rise in the probability that any given firm will lose its information … a prolonged recession followed by anemic recovery in response to an uncertainty shock. When confronted with a rise in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011401309
aggregate shock. The general equilibrium dispersion of markups implied by the optimization of heterogeneous industries creates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013051129
generating the pre-crisis productivity slowdown, while starting from the Great Recession a shock to liquidity demand is … inflation response following a recessionary shock and hence has important implications for both the negligible fall in inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012834776
A large empirical literature has examined the transmission mechanism of structural shocks in great detail. The possible role played by changes in the volatility of shocks has largely been overlooked in vector autoregression based applications. This paper proposes an extended vector...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013118954
type of shock. Expansionary securitization shocks lead to a permanent rise in real GDP and a fall in inflation. Bank … transmission mechanism of monetary policy. These effects are estimated with a structural VAR model, where the shocks are identified …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010257361
We develop a VAR that allows the estimation of the impact of monetary policy shocks on volatility. Estimates for the US …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011928806
This paper identifies a precautionary banking liquidity shock via a set of sign, zero and forecast variance … restrictions imposed. The shock proxies the reluctance of the banking sector to "lend" to the real economy induced by an exogenous … change in financial intermediaries' preference for "high" liquid assets. The identified shock has sizeable and state …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012483779
identification procedure, we show that the dominant shock driving total factor productivity (TFP) is akin to a diffusion or news … shock and that shock transmission has changed over time. Specifically, the behavior of hours worked is notably different … shock propagation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015075006