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This paper presents the R package MitISEM (mixture of t by importance sampling weighted expectation maximization) which … optimization procedure is weighted using importance sampling. In the second stage this mixture density is a candidate density for … efficient and robust application of importance sampling or the Metropolis-Hastings (MH) method to estimate properties of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012951941
recently developed stochastic sampling techniques and highlight their application to operational risk through the models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012954968
The main objective of this work is to develop a detailed step-by-step guide to the development and application of a new class of efficient Monte Carlo methods to solve practically important problems faced by insurers under the new solvency regulations. In particular, a novel Monte Carlo method...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012957257
This paper presents the R package MitISEM (mixture of t by importance sampling weighted expectation maximization) which … optimization procedure is weighted using importance sampling. In the second stage this mixture density is a candidate density for … efficient and robust application of importance sampling or the Metropolis-Hastings (MH) method to estimate properties of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012971949
We consider Bayesian inference by importance sampling when the likelihood is analytically intractable but can be … unbiasedly estimated. We refer to this procedure as importance sampling squared (IS2), as we can often estimate the likelihood … itself by importance sampling. We provide a formal justification for importance sampling when working with an estimate of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013059994
Forecasted mortality rates using mortality models proposed in the recent literature are sensitive to the sample size. In this paper we propose a method based on Bayesian learning to determine model-specific posterior distributions of the sample sizes. In particular, the sample size is included...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013027483
This paper studies shock transmission across macroeconomic sectors in the UK, using data from the Bank of England's Flow of Funds statistics. We combine two different approaches to quantify the spread of shocks to assess whether sectors with large bilateral economic linkages as measured through...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012511453
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012512412
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012608357
use of importance sampling or the independence chain Metropolis-Hastings algorithm for posterior analysis. A comparative … appropriately yet quickly tuned candidate, straightforward importance sampling provides the most efficient estimator of the marginal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012749869