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We develop a multi-sectoral matching model to predict the impact of the lockdown on the US unemployment, considering … and business closures that hit the workers with the first level of education explains the abruptness of the unemployment …-crisis unemployment level could be reached in 2024 in a scenario with a double wave. In the same scenario, a calibration on French data …
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labor market and examines the implications of joint household decision-making for cyclical fluctuations in the unemployment …, and find that joint household decision-making contributes to the counter-cyclicality of women’s unemployment rate, but not …
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We identify the main shock driving fluctuations in long‐horizon productivity expectations, consistent with theories of … TFP news. The identified shock induces strong comovement patterns in output, consumption, investment, employment, and … news shock. The model also matches the empirical patterns of vacancies, labor force participation, hours, and job …
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