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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011616776
We use a network model of credit risk to measure market expectations of the potential spillovers from a sovereign default. Specifically, we develop an empirical model, based on the recent theoretical literature on contagion in financial networks, and estimate it with data on sovereign credit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458098
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the Eurozone. The adjusted correlation analysis confirms that Greece and other PIIGS (even Spain and Italy) have lower …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012965163
This paper proposes a new mutual exciting regime-switching model where crises can spread contagiously across countries. Each country has its own hidden stochastic process that determines whether it is in a normal or crisis regime. The mutual-excitation component allows interactions in the Markov...
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Since the onset of the eurozone sovereign debt crisis, credit risk spreads in Europe have diverged. Despite this … divergence, credit risk comoves strongly within certain country groups such as the eurozone periphery. We seek to answer what the … eurozone countries during the sovereign debt crisis. We find strong evidence for both fundamentals and nonfundamentals based …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010486057
This paper addresses the following questions. Is there evidence of financial contagion in the Eurozone? To what extent … matter concerning the Euro Zone. Second, differences in vulnerability to contagion within the Eurozone are even more … remarkable: the core Eurozone members become less vulnerable to EUZ contagion, possibly due to a safe-heaven effect, while …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011731038
The paper analyzes the integration of euro area sovereign bond markets during the European sovereign debt crisis. It tests for contagion (i.e., an intensification in the transmission of shocks across countries), fragmentation (a reduction in spillovers) and flight-to-quality patterns, exploiting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010519824