Granger causality (GC) tests are widely used when it comes to empirically address the dynamic relationship between speculative activities and pricing on commodity markets. However, the sheer number of studies and their heterogeneity makes it extremely difficult – if not impossible – to...

While much is known about the financialization of commodities, less is known about how to profitably invest in commodities. We develop a four-factor asset pricing model of commodity returns. Our four-factor model prices both commodity spot and term risk premia in an intuitive manner related to...

The run-up in oil prices since 2004 coincided with growing investment in commodity markets and increased price comovement among different commodities. We assess whether speculation in the oil market played a role in driving this salient empirical pattern. We identify oil shocks from a large...

The paper presents and estimates a model of the prices of oil and other storable commodities, a model that can be characterized as reflecting the carry trade. It focuses on speculative factors, here defined as the trade-off between interest rates on the one hand and market participants'...

This paper will cover investing in commodities through futures contracts. It will note the unique sources of risk and return for such investments. We will also discuss the factors that one should take into consideration before deciding upon how much of their portfolio should be in commodities....

"Je höher man steigt, umso tiefer der Fall" - auf wohl kein Phänomen trifft dieser Ausspruch so gut zu wie auf Finanzkrisen. Steigen die Preise für ein Spekulationsobjekt in immer gröe︢re Höhen und erhitzt sich der Markt immer mehr, ist die Folge meist ein abrupter Fall: Die Blase platzt!...