Die deutsche Industrie sah sich bis Mitte 2008 einem erheblichen Kostendruck ausgesetzt, der durch steigende Preise für Rohstoffe ausgelöst war. Besonders die stark gestiegenen Energiepreise mit einem Ölpreisniveau von bis zu 150 Dollar je Barrel sorgten für erhebliche Belastungen....

Emerging economies, particularly those dependent on commodity exports, are prone to highly disruptive economic cycles. This paper proposes a small open economy model for a net commodity exporter to quantitatively study the triggers of these cycles. The economy consists of two sectors, one of...

Demand shocks due to rapid industrialization have driven commodity price booms throughout history. As periods of industrialization lose steam and supply catches up, busts follow after about 10 years. A new dataset of price and production levels of 12 commodities provides evidence of this...

High and volatile prices of major commodities have generated a wide array of analyses and policy prescriptions, including influential studies identifying price bubbles in periods of high volatility. Here we consider a model of the market for a storable commodity in which price expectations are...