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Forecasting inflation with gradual regiem shifts and exogenous information
González, Andrés; Hubrich, Kirstin; Teräsvirta, Timo - 2009
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003849428
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Tools for non-linear time series forecasting in economics - an empirical comparison of regime switching vector autoregressive models and recurrent neural networks
Binner, Jane M.; Elger, Thomas; Nilsson, Birger; … - In: Applications of artificial intelligence in finance and …, (pp. 71-91). 2004
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002797215
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Does the Macroeconomy Predict U.K. Asset Returns in a Nonlinear Fashion? Comprehensive Out-of-Sample Evidence
Guidolin, Massimo - 2010
We perform a comprehensive examination of the recursive, comparative predictive performance of a number of linear and non-linear models for UK stock and bond returns. We estimate Markov switching, threshold autoregressive (TAR), and smooth transition autoregressive (STR) regime switching models,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013136656
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Does the Macroeconomy Predict U.K. Asset Returns in a Nonlinear Fashion? Comprehensive Out-of-Sample Evidence
Guidolin, Massimo; Hyde, Stuart; McMillan, David; Ono, … - 2010
We perform a comprehensive examination of the recursive, comparative predictive performance of a number of linear and non-linear models for UK stock and bond returns. We estimate Markov switching, threshold autoregressive (TAR), and smooth transition autoregressive (STR) regime switching models,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014190297
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Non-linearity and instability in the Euro area
Marcellino, Massimiliano - In: Nonlinear time series analysis of business cycles, (pp. 151-174). 2006
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003309347
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Non-linear interest rate dynamics and forecasting : evidence for US and Australian interest rates
McMillan, David G. - In: International journal of finance & economics : IJFE 14 (2009) 2, pp. 139-155
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003824095
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Forecasting with nonlinear time series models
Bredahl Kock, Andreas; Teräsvirta, Timo - 2010
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003914221
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Time series mixtures of generalized t experts : ML estimation and an application to stock return density forecasting
Carvalho, Alexandre Ywata de; Skoulakis, Georgios - In: Econometric reviews 29 (2010) 5/6, pp. 642-687
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008668106
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Does the macroeconomy predict UK asset returns in a nonlinear fashion? : comprehensive out-of-sample evidence
Guidolin, Massimo; Hyde, Stuart; McMillan, David G.; … - 2010
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008668600