inflation that can be attributed solely to the rounding of prices to figures that are "attractive" in euro. The empirical … inflation in 2002 lies between 0.1 and 0.5 percentage points. The changeover apparently worked its effect mainly through …

While the financial protection measures enacted by the ECB and the community of Eurozone members have calmed financial … markets, they have left the competitiveness problem of the Eurozone's southern countries and France unresolved. The paper … compares price inflation before the crisis with the necessary and actual price cuts that have taken place since the outbreak of …

After 2012, inflation has been unexpectedly low across much of the developed world and economists speak of a “missing … inflation” puzzle, namely inflation was expected to be higher on the back of an ongoing recovery. This paper investigates the … causes and consequences of low inflation in the euro area after 2012 and analyses whether monetary policy has been successful …

Inflation in the euro area has been falling since mid-2013, turned negative at the end of 2014 and remained below … by means of sign restrictions, to inflation and economic activity. Shocks to oil supply do not tell the full story about … contractionary. A country analysis confirms that the negative effects of oil supply and monetary policy shocks on inflation was …

We develop a theoretical model that features a business cycle-dependent relation between output, price inflation and … inflation expectations, augmenting the model by Svensson (1997) with a nonlinear Phillips curve that reflects the rationale … pronounced convex relationship between inflation and the output gap, meaning that the co-efficient in the Phillips curve on the …

Did the decline in inflation rates from 2012 to 2015 and the low levels of market-based inflation expectations lead to de …-anchored inflation dynamics in the euro area? This paper is the first time-varying event study to investigate the reaction of inflation …-linked swap (ILS) rates – a market-based measure of inflation expectations – to macroeconomic surprises in the euro area. Compared …

, subsequently, we didn't see the inflation they predicted. We show that these puzzles disappear in a Vector Autoregressive model … much of the inflation dynamics in the 2012-2014 euro area missing inflation episode. Consequently, economists and models … that excessively focused on the global nature of inflation were liable to miss the contribution of deflationary domestic …

This paper analyses the distribution of long-term inflation expectations in the euro area using individual density …

-area inflation. As in a Phillips curve relationship we assume that inflation quantiles depend on past inflation, the output gap, and … distribution. Overall, the quantile regression approach describes the distribution of inflation better than a benchmark univariate … trend-cycle model with stochastic volatility, which is known to perform very well in forecasting inflation. In an out …

In this paper, we study the fit and the predictive performance of the Phillips curve for euro area inflation with … regard to different inflation series, time periods and predictor variables, notably different global factors. We compare the … prices, global consumer inflation, global economic slack and foreign demand. We find that traditional global indicators such …