, but also makes staging successful coups easier. In equilibrium, an increase in the likelihood of war makes indirect … involvement less likely; its impact on coups, which are aimed at establishing direct control, is non-monotonic. We show empirical … evidence for this non-monotonic relationship, with coups being least likely for low and high probabilities of war …

In a canonical model of military conflict, victory and defeat depend stochastically on the difference of resources … deployed by the conflict parties. The present paper offers a comprehensive analysis of that model. The unique Nash equilibrium … conflict and, less often so, of its resolution. The formal derivation exploits the variation-diminishing property of higher …

, but also makes staging successful coups easier. In equilibrium, an increase in the likelihood of war makes indirect … involvement less likely; its impact on coups, which are aimed at establishing direct control, is non-monotonic. We show empirical … evidence for this non-monotonic relationship, with coups being least likely for low and high probabilities of war …

Coups and regime transitions are events that typically are intended to change the basic institutional framework of a … types of regime transitions. We hypothesize that when coups are conducted by members of the incumbent political elite, they …, our results suggest that successful coups are associated with degradation of institutions, with successful military coups …