This paper provides new evidence that sustained budget deficits reduce national saving and raise interest rates by economically and statistically significant quantities. Using a series of econometric specifications that nest Ricardian and non-Ricardian models, we obtain evidence of strong...

The effects of fiscal policy on the economy have received substantial attention in academic and policy circles. We review this literature in light of recent policy debates and new research and obtain three results. First, other things equal, deficits reduce national saving and future national...

This paper reviews the financial position of Social Security, presents a plan for saving it, and discusses why Social Security revenue should not be diverted into individual accounts. Our approach preserves the value of Social Security in providing a basic level of benefits for workers and their...

This paper analyzes the effects of a large randomized field experiment carried out with Hamp;R Block, offering matching incentives for IRA contributions at the time of tax preparation. About 14,000 Hamp;R Block clients, across 60 offices in predominantly low- and middle-income neighborhoods in...

Under traditional formulations, lower capital income tax rates reduce the user cost of capital and stimulate investment. The traditional approach, however, implictly or explicitly considers a revenue-neutral reduction in capital income taxation. We extend the traditional approach by considering...

U.S. monetary policy during the 1990s / N. Gregory Mankiw -- Fiscal policy and Social Security policy during the 1990s / Douglas W. Elmendorf, Jeffrey B. Liebman, David W. Wilcox -- Tax policy from 1990 to 2001 / Eugene Steuerle -- Between meltdown and moral hazard : the international monetary...