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This paper addresses the following questions. Is there evidence of financial contagion in the Eurozone? To what extent … a country's vulnerability to contagion depends on "fundamentals" as opposed the government's "credibility"? We look at … matter concerning the Euro Zone. Second, differences in vulnerability to contagion within the Eurozone are even more …
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primary contagion driver, rather than the trade channel. Given the substantial degree of financial contagion, I run a series … similarly severe contagion in the future, so long as there is not capital immobility to the degree that the local sovereign can …
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results from the first two approaches do not appear to favour the contagion hypothesis. Nevertheless, the third approach, when …
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Against the backdrop of the contagion literature, the paper analyses the impact of financial and trade linkages on …. Second, the structure of international trade helps to account for the geographic scope of contagion, even after controlling …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010944615
This paper investigates contagion between bank risk and sovereign risk in Europe over the period 2006-2011. Since this … spillovers. We define contagion as excess correlation, i.e. correlation between banks and sovereigns over and above what is … of contagion by analyzing bank-specific as well as country-specific variables and their interaction. We provide empirical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011272773
Staff Discussion Notes showcase the latest policy-related analysis and research being developed by individual IMF staff and are published to elicit comment and to further debate. These papers are generally brief and written in nontechnical language, and so are aimed at a broad audience...
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We develop an early-warning model of sovereign debt crises. A country is defined to be in a debt crisis if it is classified as being in default by Standard & Poor's, or if it has access to nonconcessional IMF financing in excess of 100 percent of quota. By means of logit and binary recursive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005248202