This paper is based around outlining and illustrating the use of a co-evolutionary method for long-term macro-economic forecasting. The paper includes economic forecasts for the UK to 2060 using a novel approach based on Multichannel Singular Spectral Analysis (MSSA). The forecasts are based on...

A Review of Demographic Forecasting Models for Mortality -- A Review of Epidemiological Approaches to Forecasting Mortality and Morbidity -- Theoretical Perspectives on Forecasting Mortality -- A Regression Model of Mortality, with Application to the Netherlands -- Forecasting Mortality from...

We characterize the relationship between the rent-to-price ratio and house market returns and rent growth in a model where the demographic variable, the middleaged to young ratio, captures the slowly evolving components in the rent-to-price ratio. To document the linkage between demographics and...

When the future evolution of demographic processes is described in a stochastic setting, the challenge is to communicate the meaning of forecast uncertainty in an understandable way, to decision makers and public at large. For the purpose of risk communication, a formal setting is developed, in...