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). -- World economic performance over the last 50 years has been spectacular. The post-war period has witnessed impressive growth …
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This study analyses the performance of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) World Economic Outlook output forecasts … for the world and for both the advanced economies and the emerging and developing economies. With a focus on the forecast …
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Empirische Wirtschaftsforschung widmet sich wichtigen, allgemein interessierenden Phänomenen, die sie beschreibt, erklärt und wofür sie Zukunftsperspektiven bietet. Unter Einbezug wissenschaftlicher Erkenntnisse stellt sie Entscheidungsgrundlagen für Unternehmensplanung und politische...
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We examine the behavior of forecasts for real GDP growth using a large panel of individual forecasts from 30 advanced and emerging economies during 1989-2010. Our main findings are as follows. First, our evidence does not support the validity of the sticky information model (Mankiw and Reis,...
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