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The ongoing process of climate change goes along with a higher frequency and/or severity of droughts. While the short-term growth consequences of droughts are comparatively well examined, little research has yet been devoted to the question whether and how droughts affect medium and long-term...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011384506
Despite the fact that growth theories suggest that natural disasters should have an impact on economic growth, parametric empirical studies have provided little to no evidence supporting that prediction. On the other hand, pure nonparametric regression analysis would be an extremely difficult...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012403903
shown by the survey, the marginalized population has little access to financial support in disaster aftermaths, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012445918
This paper studies the theoretical effects of changes in disaster risk on macroeconomic variables in five Latin … American economies. It compares country-specific variants of the New Keynesian model with disaster risk developed by Isoré and … less vulnerable to disaster risk shocks, as compared to Chile and Colombia in particular. Overall, the analysis suggests …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011853521
economies, face much larger output declines following a disaster of similar relative magnitude than do developed countries or … trade, and higher levels of government spending are better able to withstand the initial disaster shock and prevent further …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003855328
This paper documents several stylized facts on the real effects of economic uncertainty. First, higher uncertainty is associated with a more dispersed and negatively skewed distribution of output growth. Second, the response of economic growth to an increase in uncertainty is highly nonlinear...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014048844
proposition that ex ante risk transfer policies are more efficient than ex post disaster relief. -- natural hazards ; growth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009731161
literature does not offer conclusive evidence. Most existing studies use disaster data drawn from damage records of insurance … GDP. We build a comprehensive database of disaster events and their intensities from primary geophysical and … effect of disasters on growth. The worst 5% disaster years come with a growth damage of at least 0.45 percentage points. That …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010199740
probability of disaster occurrence to decrease with income; (ii) the capital at risk – and thus the economic losses in case of … disaster – to increase faster than economic growth; (iii) the average annual losses to grow faster than income at low levels of … observation of a trend in disaster losses should not be confused with the presence of excessive risk taking. In a descriptive …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013083303
literature does not offer conclusive evidence. Most existing studies use disaster data drawn from damage records of insurance … GDP. We build a comprehensive database of disaster events and their intensities from primary geophysical and … effect of disasters on growth. The worst 5% disaster years come with a growth damage of at least 0.45 percentage points. That …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013073607