This paper presents a new facet of the regional forecasts of the Institute for Employment Research (IAB). For the development in 2022, we report results at the level of administrative district types of the Federal Institute for Research on Building, Urban Affairs and Spatial Development (BBSR)....

This study focuses on the question whether nonlinear transformation of lagged time series values and residuals are able to systematically improve the average forecasting performance of simple Autoregressive models. Furthermore it investigates the potential superior forecasting results of a...

The population growth of cities in industrialized countries is characterized by striking disparities. While some cities experience a kind of resurgence in recent years others suffer from an ongoing depopulation. In this context an important issue refers to the question whether labour market...