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This paper implements a structural model of the yield curve with data on nominal positions and survey forecasts. Bond … bond payoffs. Risk premia measured by an econometrician vary because of changes in investors' subjective risk premia that …
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What explains the sharp movements of the yield curve in response to major U.S. macroeconomic announcements? To answer this question, we estimate an arbitrage-free dynamic term structure model with macroeconomic fundamentals as risk factors. We assume that the yield curve reacts to announcements...
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