Showing 311 - 320 of 125,729
I construct a no-arbitrage term structure model with endogenous regime shifts and apply it to Japanese government bond … ZIRP, the deflationary effect on bond yields increases on the longer end of yield curves; on the other hand, the effect of … output gaps on raising bond yields weakens for all maturities …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012974584
quantitative easing paradox: LSAP raise long-term government bond yields, while a premature exit lowers long-term government bond … effect on long-term government bond yields …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013005970
I estimate a term structure model of Treasury yields where information about macroeconomic conditions is dispersed: traders form beliefs by combining prices with idiosyncratic signals about fundamentals. Econometrically, yields and inflation forecasts identify traders' information. Despite...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012851253
In this paper, we investigate whether credit spread curve information helps forecast the government bond yield curve … and whether the joint dynamics of the government bond yields and credit spreads have structural changes. For this purpose …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013026019
I employ a sign-identified vector autoregression (VAR) in foreign Treasury purchases and factors of the yield curve to estimate the dynamic impacts of foreign Treasury purchases on Treasury yields. Although a growing literature studies this question, it does not adequately address the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013043019
This note examines the stochastic behaviour of US monthly 10-year government bond yields. Specifically, it estimates a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012383724
Speculative trading activity may either support efficient market functioning or introduce price distortions. Using granular, daily EMIR Trade Repository data on short sterling futures, we investigate the interaction of speculative trading and macroeconomic shocks on UK yield curve pricing over a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014353213
corporate bond yield changes and stock returns should be informative about firm level default risk of this corporate debt. In … estimate the contemporaneous correlation between firm level corporate bond yield changes and stock returns using daily data … evidence that as the stock-bond correlations increase in absolute value, the default risks of bonds increase, as expected. In …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013139782
In their seminal paper on bond fund performance, Blake, Elton and Gruber (1993) state that survivorship bias is … unimportant for this market segment. Many bond fund studies have since been published without treating survivorship bias despite … disappearance of bond funds comprehensively. As key determinants we identify fund size and flows. Compared to equity funds, returns …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013114608
I demonstrate that much of the time series variation in the credit spread on high yield bonds is attributable to changes in the “credit risk premium” rather than changes in expected default losses. The credit risk premium is the expected excess return investors earn from bearing default risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013107927