In this paper we construct a new monetary policy indicator (MPI) for Jamaica. Further to the construction of this indicator, two variants of augmented VAR are estimated. These are the structural VAR and a variant of the fusion between VAR and the analytical narrative-approach (ANA); forming the...

Using real time estimates of output gaps or Greenbook forecasts of the unemployment rate, this article estimates Taylor-type policy rules that predict the actual behavior of the funds rate during two sample periods, 1968Q1 to 1979Q2 and 1979Q3 to 1994Q4. The inflation rate response coefficient...

The role of stock and currency market information in a forward-looking Taylor rule is analysed for monthly data from 13 OECD countries and the U.S. during the years 1988-2012. Based on a simple set of partial equilibrium conditions we fi nd that the stock market information in the form of...

This paper examines the impact of the U.S. monetary policy on the Subprime mortgage crisis using a modified Taylor rule. The main finding is that during the pre-crisis period the short term rate deviated significantly from the estimated taylor rate. This deviation may have been a cause of the...

We assess the differences that emerge in Taylor rule estimations for the ECB when using ex-pos data instead of real time forecasts and vice versa.We argue that previous comparative studies i this field mixed up two separate effects. First, the differences resulting from the use of ex-post and...

The political transition in the Arab Spring countries has been accompanied by a deterioration of economic and financial indicators like the Tunisian case. Therefore, this paper aims to get a deeper understanding the nature of the rule that reflects the behavior of the Tunisian monetary authority...

The Taylor rule has become the dominant model for academic evaluation of out-of-sample exchange rate predictability. Two versions of the Taylor rule model are the Taylor rule fundamentals model, where the variables that enter the Taylor rule are used to forecast exchange rate changes, and the...

The changing and unpredictable nature of the money demand function has led many Central Banks authorities around the world to shift from exchange rate and monetary policy targeting to inflation targeting framework. The gradual shift to inflation targeting has reawakened interest in the Taylor's...

Asymmetric effects in a monetary policy rule could appear due to asymmetric preferences of the central bank or/and due to nonlinearities in the economic system. It might be suspected that monetary authorities are more aggressive to the inflation rate when it is above its target level than when...

Our paper attempts to enhance the understanding of China's monetary policy rule, which may help explain the country's remarkable inflation performance over the past decade, in spite of the absence of explicit inflation targeting. In particular, we aim to shed light on the role of inflation in...