Policymakers can take actions to prevent local conflict before it begins, if such violence can be accurately predicted …. We examine the two countries with the richest available sub-national data: Colombia and Indonesia. We assemble two … decades of fine-grained violence data by type, alongside hundreds of annual risk factors. We predict violence one year ahead …

This paper examines the relationship between maternal exposure to violence during pregnancy and newborn birthweight … Colombian municipalities. Exposure to violence in early pregnancy had a large negative impact on birthweight, primarily for boys … evidence exposes the importance of parental responses in shaping the effect of exposure to violence on newborn health …

spatial persistence in the municipal homicide rate in Colombia, as a result of shock increases in the displaced population and … Colombia. …