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Tail risk forecasting with semiparametric regression models by incorporating overnight information

Chen, Cathy W. S.; Koike, Takaaki; Shau, Wei-Hsuan - In: Journal of forecasting 43 (2024) 5, pp. 1492-1512

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015108416

Forecasting volatility of tanker freight rates based on asymmetric regime-switching GARCH models

Lauenstein, Philipp; Walther, Thomas - In: International journal of financial engineering and risk … 2 (2016) 3, pp. 172-199

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011778834

Bootstrapping time-varying uncertainty intervals for extreme daily return periods

Makatjane, Katleho - In: International Journal of Financial Studies : open … 10 (2022) 1, pp. 1-23

This study aims to overcome the problem of dimensionality, accurate estimation, and forecasting Value-at-Risk (VaR) and … bulk distribution components. This implies that the combination of a stochastic econometric model with extreme value theory …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012804913

Forecasting tail risk of skewed financial returns having exponential-polynomial tails

Antwi, Albert; Gyamfi, Emmanuel Numapau; Adam, Anokye M. - In: Journal of forecasting 43 (2024) 7, pp. 2731-2748

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015110551

Forecasting conditional volatility based on hybrid GARCH-type models with long memory, regime switching, leverage effect and heavy-tail : further evidence from equity market

Huang, Yirong; Luo, Yi - In: The North American journal of economics and finance : a … 72 (2024), pp. 1-18

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014534834

How does trading volume affect financial return distributions?

Do, Hung Xuan; Brooks, Robert; Sirimon Treepongkaruna; … - In: International review of financial analysis 35 (2014), pp. 190-206

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010530243

Measuring and testing tail dependence and contagion risk between Major stock markets

Su, Ender - In: Computational economics 50 (2017) 2, pp. 325-351

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011762384

Value at risk (VaR) analysis for fat tails and long memory in returns

Günay, Samet - In: Eurasian economic review : a journal in applied … 7 (2017) 2, pp. 215-230

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011684346

Measuring tail risk with GAS time varying copula, fat tailed GARCH model and hedging for crude oil futures

Gong, Xiao-Li; Liu, Xi-Hua; Xiong, Xiong - In: Pacific-Basin finance journal 55 (2019), pp. 95-109

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012169513

GAS or GARCH : a comparison of density and VaR forecasts in Turkish FX and stock markets

Özgül, Ali - In: Istanbul business research 54 (2025) 1, pp. 58-86

This paper compares the renowned GARCH model with a novel one, the Generalized Autoregressive Score (GAS) model in terms of forecasting performance. Considering the gap in the literature, this study focuses on the Turkish stock and FX markets. The analysis covers 25 years (1999-2023), of which...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015411633