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Volatility features of the Nordic day ahead power spot market for a 12-year period up till May 2004 are studied. The … daily logarithmic volatility was measured for this period to be about 16%. This level is well above what is observed for … most other well-studied financial markets. Volatility clustering, log-normal distribution, and long-range correlations are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011059805
of RiskMetrics is the artifact of the choice of the risk measure. First, the outstanding performance of volatility … performance in obtaining Value-at-Risk by simply multiplying volatility with a constant factor is mainly due to the choice of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011060326
.0,b=5. The volatility auto-correlation function (c(τ)) is positive for several iterations. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011060719
This paper tests whether volatility for equity returns for emerging markets possesses long-range dependence … empirical results suggest that there exists long-range dependence in emerging equity returns' volatility and also that it is … class of GARCH processes, which are currently employed to analyze volatility of financial time series, is misspecified. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011060827
We discuss the modification of the Kapteyn multiplicative process using the q-product of Borges [E.P. Borges, A possible deformed algebra and calculus inspired in nonextensive thermostatistics, Physica A 340 (2004) 95]. Depending on the value of the index q a generalisation of the log-Normal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011060851
We study the unconditional volatility distribution of the Italian futures market, measuring it via Fourier analysis … volatility levels in its final part, because of the dramatic events following 11 September 2001. Our results show that the … standard assumption of lognormal unconditional volatility has to be rejected for such a turbulent sample, since it is unable to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011061334
We study the volatility of the S&P500 stock index from 1984 to 1996 and find that the volatility distribution can be … very well described by a log-normal function. Further, using detrended fluctuation analysis we show that the volatility is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011061882
time interval [t,t+Δt]. We relate the time-dependent standard deviation of price changes—volatility—to two microscopic … that the long-ranged volatility correlations are largely due to those of N. We then argue that the tail-exponent of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011061910
(‘volatility’) are long-term correlated. Here we provide evidence that certain subsequences of the returns themselves also exhibit … this long-term memory which is similar to that observed in volatility clustering sheds further insight on price dynamics …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011061993
In recent years, physicists have started applying concepts and methods of statistical physics to study economic problems. The word “Econophysics” is sometimes used to refer to this work. Much recent work is focused on understanding the statistical properties of financial time series. One...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011062037