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for volatility, correlation and covariance using high frequency financial data. It also implements complementary … paper first presents the issues associated with exploiting high frequency financial data. We then describe the volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013237488
This paper develops a method to improve the estimation of jump variation using high frequency data with the existence … of market microstructure noises. Accurate estimation of jump variation is in high demand, as it is an important component … of volatility in finance for portfolio allocation, derivative pricing and risk management. The method has a two …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011568279
crises, liquidity variables have a negative influence on the volatility, in contrast to the time period after the outbrake of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011578147
We estimate a general microstructure model of the transitory and permanent impact of order flow on stock prices. Jumps are detected in both the transaction price (observation equation) and fundamental value (state equation). The model's parameters and variances are updated in real time. Prices...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010256970
A Hidden Markov Model (HMM) is used to model the VIX (the Cboe Volatility Index). A 4- state Gaussian mixture is fitted … Hedge Index). The results presented here show promising application in modelling and predicting volatility, as well as … identifying current volatility regimes predominating the market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014356167
We derive a nonparametric test for constant (continuous) beta over a fixed interval of time. Continuous beta is defined as the ratio of the continuous covariation between an asset and observable risk factor (e.g., the market return) and the continuous variation of the latter. Our test is based...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010253467
Several novel large volatility matrix estimation methods have been developed based on the high-frequency financial data … matrix and facilitates estimation of large volatility matrices. However, for predicting future volatility matrices, these …. They often employ the approximate factor model that leads to a low-rank plus sparse structure for the integrated volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012941598
To investigate how economies, financial markets or institutions can deal with stress, we nowadays often analyze the effects of shocks conditional on a recession or a bear market. MSVAR models are ideally suited for such analyses because they combine gradual movement with sudden switches. In this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012621564
allocation and risk management require estimates of the volatility of these factors. While realized volatility has become a … provide a statistical approach to estimate the volatility of these factors. The efficacy of this approach relative to the use … of models based on squared returns is demonstrated for forecasts of the market volatility and a portfolio allocation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011860248
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009756308